Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Drake

78.8%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -372

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 76

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricMurray State

46.4MMH Power Index53.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.4Net Efficiency4.0

0.3Strength of Schedule3.5

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.6Tempo72.3

52.2%Effective FG%54.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

34.4%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–46.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.5), net efficiency (4.0–0.4), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.1–111.0), ball security (14.9–16.3).

Final

Drake

72—81

Murray State

Murray State by 9 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATMurray State

26-58FG23-57

45.0%FG%40.0%

3-163PT9-26

19.0%3PT%35.0%

17-23FT26-31

74.0%FT%84.0%

35Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists10

11Turnovers5

3Steals7

1Blocks3

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	33	7-17	1-2	4-6	2	0	1	0	19
Okku Federiko	F	31	6-10	1-4	4-5	5	2	0	1	17
Jaehshon Thomas	G	21	7-10	1-3	2-2	0	0	1	0	17
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	28	2-6	0-1	4-4	5	2	0	0	8
Griffen Goodbary	F	9	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Owen Larson	G	31	0-5	0-1	3-4	8	3	0	0	3
Andrew Alia	G	29	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	1	1	0	2
Eli Shetlar	G	15	1-6	0-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Braden Appelhans	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred King	C	27	6-13	0-1	4-5	11	3	1	2	16
Layne Taylor	G	32	4-10	3-8	2-2	2	2	2	0	13
Javon Jackson	G	20	3-9	1-3	4-4	0	1	2	0	11
Mason Miller	F	23	3-6	3-6	1-2	2	0	1	0	10
Roman Domon	G	20	1-4	0-2	7-8	3	1	0	1	9
Brayden Shorter	G	16	1-3	1-3	4-4	3	0	0	0	7
Mathis Courbon	G	20	1-2	0-1	3-4	2	2	1	0	5
Dylan Anderson	C	7	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
JJ Traynor	F	23	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
KJ Tenner	G	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Brock Vice	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

107.8Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency107.8

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

47.4%Effective FG%48.2%

52.2%True Shooting %56.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate7.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate54.4%

27.6%3-Point Rate45.6%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Murray State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.