Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.6%Southern Utah

52.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Arizona -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Arizona -110

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 76

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 78

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricNorthern Arizona

40.6MMH Power Index36.9

105.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

110.0Defensive Efficiency114.8

-4.4Net Efficiency-7.7

-3.0Strength of Schedule-1.8

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

72.3Tempo66.6

52.6%Effective FG%53.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Utah HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Utah holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (40.6–36.9), defensive efficiency (110.0–114.8), net efficiency (-4.4–-7.7), recent form (-3.3–-16.5).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–105.6), strength of schedule (-1.8–-3.0), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.6).

Final

Southern Utah

57—65

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 8 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

22-53FG24-57

42.0%FG%42.0%

5-133PT6-12

38.0%3PT%50.0%

8-12FT11-17

67.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists9

15Turnovers8

3Steals11

2Blocks2

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Bell	G	37	4-7	0-2	4-5	3	3	1	0	12
Lorenzo Abellar	G	20	3-4	0-0	4-6	2	3	0	0	10
Jaiden Feroah	F	24	3-9	2-3	0-0	11	0	1	2	8
Elijah Duval	G	19	3-10	1-2	0-1	4	2	0	0	7
Tanner Hayhurst	G	39	2-8	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Isaiah Cottrell	F	30	3-6	0-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Cale Barclay	F	15	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Kai Burdick	C	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jalen Lee	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Logan Stephens	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Abelman	G	38	8-11	4-6	4-6	5	1	0	0	24
Karl Poom	F	30	5-9	0-1	0-1	7	1	1	0	10
Kavon Bradford	G	21	2-6	2-2	2-3	2	2	0	0	8
Zack Davidson	F	20	4-8	0-0	0-2	6	1	1	0	8
Traivar Jackson	F	20	2-5	0-0	1-1	5	0	3	0	5
Chris Komin	G	26	1-6	0-1	2-2	5	2	3	2	4
Isaiah Shaw	G	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	3	0	4
Arne Osojnik	G	24	1-9	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Oakland Fort	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Brennan Peterson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

87.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency87.8

-12.3Net Efficiency12.3

46.2%Effective FG%47.4%

48.6%True Shooting %49.9%

22.8%Turnover Rate12.5%

22.6%Free Throw Rate29.8%

24.5%3-Point Rate21.1%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.