Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Fairfield

46.9%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -113

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 73

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricCentral Connecticut

50.1MMH Power Index44.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency111.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency107.0

4.2Net Efficiency4.4

-3.4Strength of Schedule-7.7

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

67.8Tempo66.3

49.1%Effective FG%54.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

28.4%Free Throw Rate31.3%

2.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–44.4), defensive efficiency (105.4–107.0), strength of schedule (-3.4–-7.7), recent form (3.3–-0.5).

Central Connecticut COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.4–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–4.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.1).

Final

Fairfield

84—70

Central Connecticut

Fairfield by 14 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

31-61FG25-63

51.0%FG%40.0%

12-283PT9-28

43.0%3PT%32.0%

10-13FT11-13

77.0%FT%85.0%

37Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists16

9Turnovers8

5Steals6

2Blocks3

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	28	8-13	4-6	1-1	2	4	0	0	21
Brandon Benjamin	F	29	7-10	0-0	5-6	9	1	0	1	19
Eric Mejia	G	20	4-6	2-2	2-3	1	1	4	0	12
Deuce Turner	G	20	4-6	2-4	1-1	1	3	0	0	11
Tony Williams	G	19	3-7	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Halon Rawlins	G	17	2-4	1-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	5
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	25	1-7	0-3	1-2	8	1	1	0	3
Cam Estevez	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nasir Rodriguez	G	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Ryan Zan	F	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaac Munkadi	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	29	7-19	4-7	2-2	5	2	0	0	20
Melo Sanchez	G	21	5-9	3-7	0-0	2	0	1	0	13
Ashton Reynolds	G	14	4-8	0-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	10
Max Frazier	F	19	4-6	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	1	9
Jay Rodgers	G	29	1-7	1-4	2-2	3	8	0	0	5
Ja'Kobe Williams	G	13	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Daniel James	F	16	1-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	0	4
James Jones	G	35	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	1	2
Gabe Spinelli	G	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Roddy Jones	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

126.9Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency126.9

21.1Net Efficiency-21.1

60.7%Effective FG%46.8%

62.5%True Shooting %50.6%

13.4%Turnover Rate12.3%

21.3%Free Throw Rate20.6%

45.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.56Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.