Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Little Rock

44.1%Southern Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Indiana -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -127

Southern Indiana

7-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 70

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 70

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricSouthern Indiana

44MMH Power Index37.3

103.0Offensive Efficiency99.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency106.5

-5.2Net Efficiency-7.3

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.1

68.5Tempo66.7

50.3%Effective FG%45.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %32.2%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.6Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–37.3), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.2), net efficiency (-5.2–-7.3), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.0).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.5–108.2), ball security (17.4–18.7), offensive rebounding (32.2–32.1).

Final

Little Rock

77—62

Southern Indiana

Little Rock by 15 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATSouthern Indiana

28-55FG22-55

51.0%FG%40.0%

9-223PT10-26

41.0%3PT%38.0%

12-19FT8-18

63.0%FT%44.0%

43Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists9

17Turnovers11

5Steals9

6Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kachi Nzeh	F	36	9-10	3-4	0-0	4	0	0	2	21
Cameron Wallace	F	38	8-13	0-1	3-5	13	1	2	0	19
Johnathan Lawson	G	34	5-15	3-9	5-7	4	1	2	0	18
Braxton Bayless	G	34	2-7	1-5	4-6	5	3	0	0	9
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	25	3-5	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	33	1-5	0-0	0-1	9	3	0	4	2

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ismail Habib	G	37	8-17	4-8	1-2	5	3	1	0	21
Cardell Bailey	G	28	7-15	4-9	0-2	5	1	4	0	18
Kaden Brown	G	22	2-7	1-5	2-2	1	0	1	0	7
Tolu Samuels	F	26	3-6	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	2	6
Josiah Dunham	G	14	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	0	1	0	5
Sheridan Sharp	G	23	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Ola Ajiboye	F	24	0-4	0-0	1-2	5	2	1	1	1
Ben Ezeagu	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-4	0	0	1	0	1
Steven Clay	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

114.4Offensive Efficiency92.1

92.1Defensive Efficiency114.4

22.3Net Efficiency-22.3

59.1%Effective FG%49.1%

60.1%True Shooting %48.8%

25.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

34.5%Free Throw Rate32.7%

40.0%3-Point Rate47.3%

0.47Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.