Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Wisconsin

48.5%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -106

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 78

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 79

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricVillanova

64.5MMH Power Index59.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency114.7

108.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

9.8Net Efficiency8.8

6.7Strength of Schedule4.4

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

69.9Tempo67.3

54.6%Effective FG%53.9%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

32.5%Free Throw Rate31.4%

6.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–59.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–114.7), net efficiency (9.8–8.8), strength of schedule (6.7–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.9–108.8), offensive rebounding (31.8–28.7).

Final

Wisconsin

66—76

Villanova

Villanova by 10 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATVillanova

25-56FG26-65

45.0%FG%40.0%

10-233PT11-31

43.0%3PT%35.0%

6-10FT13-19

60.0%FT%68.0%

35Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists16

16Turnovers8

4Steals9

4Blocks7

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Winter	F	43	9-12	4-6	1-2	11	3	1	2	23
Nick Boyd	G	42	7-17	2-5	3-5	5	4	2	0	19
John Blackwell	G	38	5-14	2-5	2-3	1	1	0	0	14
Andrew Rohde	G	37	2-4	2-3	0-0	4	3	1	0	6
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	28	1-4	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Hayden Jones	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Austin Rapp	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Jack Janicki	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Will Garlock	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Perkins	G	37	6-17	4-10	3-5	6	2	0	1	19
Matt Hodge	F	35	5-9	2-6	3-4	6	1	0	3	15
Duke Brennan	F	39	5-7	0-0	3-5	11	4	1	0	13
Bryce Lindsay	G	35	4-12	2-7	2-2	1	4	2	0	12
Devin Askew	G	31	2-7	1-2	2-2	4	2	2	2	7
Acaden Lewis	G	22	3-9	1-4	0-1	5	2	2	0	7
Tafara Gapare	F	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Malachi Palmer	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Braden Pierce	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

95.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency95.8

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

53.6%Effective FG%48.5%

54.3%True Shooting %51.3%

22.9%Turnover Rate11.8%

17.9%Free Throw Rate29.2%

41.1%3-Point Rate47.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.