Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.7%Cal Poly

91.3%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -1049

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 73

Projected Total161.7

Projected ScoreUCLA 89

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUCLA

46.5MMH Power Index63

107.2Offensive Efficiency115.9

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

-3.8Net Efficiency9.0

1.7Strength of Schedule5.1

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

76.6Tempo66.5

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

19.8%Turnover Rate13.4%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

35.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-2.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–46.5), offensive efficiency (115.9–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.9–111.0), net efficiency (9.0–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (35.8–33.8).

Final

Cal Poly

87—108

UCLA

UCLA by 21 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUCLA

26-51FG35-61

51.0%FG%57.0%

14-323PT12-28

44.0%3PT%43.0%

21-22FT26-29

95.0%FT%90.0%

28Rebounds21

7Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists20

24Turnovers8

5Steals10

1Blocks—

26Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cayden Ward	G	33	5-10	2-6	9-9	7	2	1	0	21
Peter Bandelj	G	32	5-6	4-5	3-4	3	3	0	1	17
Hamad Mousa	G	31	4-11	2-7	4-4	5	2	0	0	14
Kieran Elliott	G	21	5-5	2-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	13
Guzman Vasilic	G	14	2-2	2-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	8
Jason Scott	G	3	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Ali Assran	F	19	1-8	0-4	2-2	5	0	2	0	4
Luka Tarlac	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	2
Troy Plumtree	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Austin Goode	F	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	31	10-19	6-12	4-4	2	2	0	30
Tyler Bilodeau	F	31	7-9	2-2	8-8	8	2	2	24
Donovan Dent	G	33	5-10	0-1	6-9	2	11	5	16
Jamar Brown	G	27	6-7	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	14
Trent Perry	G	19	3-7	2-5	4-4	0	0	0	12
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	33	3-6	0-3	4-4	6	4	3	10
Brandon Williams	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Xavier Booker	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Eric Freeny	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Steven Jamerson II	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Christian Horry	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0
Jack Seidler	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

110.5Offensive Efficiency137.2

137.2Defensive Efficiency110.5

-26.7Net Efficiency26.7

64.7%Effective FG%67.2%

70.8%True Shooting %72.2%

30.6%Turnover Rate10.2%

43.1%Free Throw Rate47.5%

62.7%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

UCLA won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.