Oakland

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%Oakland

91.9%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1135

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOakland 71

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreMichigan State 88

Team Comparison

OaklandMetricMichigan State

52.6MMH Power Index69.8

115.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

114.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.2Net Efficiency15.5

2.1Strength of Schedule7.2

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

71.4Tempo67.3

53.3%Effective FG%54.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

38.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–52.6), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–114.5), net efficiency (15.5–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHball security (14.7–17.2), free throw rate (38.5–36.6).

Final

Oakland

70—79

Michigan State

Michigan State by 9 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OaklandTEAM STATMichigan State

24-56FG28-61

43.0%FG%46.0%

10-223PT6-22

45.0%3PT%27.0%

12-13FT17-23

92.0%FT%74.0%

26Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists19

12Turnovers11

8Steals4

3Blocks11

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	32	6-11	2-2	4-4	5	0	1	1	18
Ziare Wells	G	32	6-10	3-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	17
Brody Robinson	G	40	4-10	3-6	2-3	1	8	0	0	13
Michael Houge	F	36	5-10	1-3	2-2	2	1	2	0	13
Isaac Garrett	F	32	2-6	0-1	2-2	6	3	5	1	6
Brett White II	G	20	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Khoi Thurmon	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Warren Marshall IV	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	26	8-13	1-4	5-7	7	2	0	2	22
Carson Cooper	C	24	5-7	0-0	5-5	5	2	0	3	15
Jaxon Kohler	F	31	5-9	1-3	2-2	13	1	1	2	13
Kur Teng	G	20	4-11	2-6	0-0	2	5	0	0	10
Jesse McCulloch	F	15	2-5	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	2	8
Jordan Scott	F	18	2-4	1-3	1-2	4	0	1	1	6
Trey Fort	G	10	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	31	1-6	0-2	0-1	2	5	2	0	2
Divine Ugochukwu	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cam Ward	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	0
Denham Wojcik	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

102.8Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency102.8

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

51.8%Effective FG%50.8%

56.3%True Shooting %54.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.2%

23.2%Free Throw Rate37.7%

39.3%3-Point Rate36.1%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.