St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%St. John's

44.9%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -123

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 78

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreKentucky 77

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricKentucky

70.3MMH Power Index63.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency115.2

97.6Defensive Efficiency106.3

16.8Net Efficiency8.9

5.5Strength of Schedule8.7

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

70.9Tempo69.9

51.3%Effective FG%53.2%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

41.1%Free Throw Rate38.0%

11.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–63.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–106.3), net efficiency (16.8–8.9), recent form (11.4–-1.0).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.2–114.4), strength of schedule (8.7–5.5), shooting efficiency (53.2–51.3).

Final

St. John's

66—78

Kentucky

Kentucky by 12 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATKentucky

17-51FG28-61

33.0%FG%46.0%

5-193PT4-16

26.0%3PT%25.0%

27-32FT18-22

84.0%FT%82.0%

28Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists13

12Turnovers16

10Steals6

5Blocks7

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Hopkins	F	29	4-11	1-3	4-6	3	1	3	0	13
Zuby Ejiofor	F	27	3-11	1-5	5-5	5	1	1	2	12
Joson Sanon	G	19	0-5	0-2	12-12	2	0	2	0	12
Ian Jackson	G	29	4-7	2-5	0-0	6	2	2	0	10
Oziyah Sellers	G	33	3-8	0-1	3-3	3	3	0	1	9
Dillon Mitchell	F	29	2-3	0-0	0-2	3	3	1	0	4
Ruben Prey	F	11	0-2	0-1	3-4	1	3	0	1	3
Dylan Darling	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	34	6-17	0-3	8-9	5	1	3	0	20
Jaland Lowe	G	15	5-7	1-2	2-2	3	3	0	0	13
Kam Williams	G	21	2-6	2-5	5-6	0	0	0	0	11
Jayden Quaintance	F	17	5-7	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	2	10
Malachi Moreno	C	22	4-6	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	2	8
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	22	2-4	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	2	6
Denzel Aberdeen	G	27	1-5	0-2	2-2	3	3	1	0	4
Brandon Garrison	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Jasper Johnson	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Collin Chandler	G	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Trent Noah	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

95.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency95.1

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

38.2%Effective FG%49.2%

49.8%True Shooting %54.6%

17.9%Turnover Rate22.4%

62.7%Free Throw Rate36.1%

37.3%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.