North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%North Carolina

60.6%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -154

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 76

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreOhio State 79

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricOhio State

65.2MMH Power Index64.5

115.5Offensive Efficiency118.1

103.8Defensive Efficiency108.1

11.7Net Efficiency10.0

7.6Strength of Schedule6.4

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

69.0Tempo67.2

54.6%Effective FG%56.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

38.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

8.1Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–64.5), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.1), net efficiency (11.7–10.0), strength of schedule (7.6–6.4).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.1–115.5), recent form (6.3–-1.8), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.6).

Final

North Carolina

71—70

Ohio State

North Carolina by 1 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATOhio State

28-63FG25-63

44.0%FG%40.0%

8-273PT4-20

30.0%3PT%20.0%

7-13FT16-19

54.0%FT%84.0%

39Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds13

22Assists17

7Turnovers6

4Steals5

5Blocks3

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	34	9-16	0-0	2-5	15	2	0	3	20
Seth Trimble	G	36	6-13	3-5	2-3	2	3	0	0	17
Henri Veesaar	C	32	7-12	2-5	1-3	10	5	0	1	17
Jarin Stevenson	F	27	3-7	0-4	0-0	5	2	2	1	6
Derek Dixon	G	24	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	4	1	0	3
Jonathan Powell	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jaydon Young	G	3	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Luka Bogavac	G	13	0-3	0-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	3	1	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Royal	F	36	6-12	2-2	4-6	8	2	1	1	18
Bruce Thornton	G	37	7-16	0-4	2-3	4	4	2	2	16
John Mobley Jr.	G	32	3-11	2-6	5-5	3	4	1	0	13
Christoph Tilly	C	28	4-9	0-3	4-4	10	3	0	0	12
Amare Bynum	F	27	5-11	0-2	1-1	6	1	1	0	11
Brandon Noel	F	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Colin White	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ivan Njegovan	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Gabe Cupps	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Taison Chatman	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

109.9Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency109.9

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

50.8%Effective FG%42.9%

51.3%True Shooting %48.6%

10.9%Turnover Rate9.2%

20.6%Free Throw Rate30.2%

42.9%3-Point Rate31.7%

3.14Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.