Texas Tech

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Texas Tech

90.7%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -15.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -975

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 68

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

Texas TechMetricDuke

65.8MMH Power Index81.7

117.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

10.6Net Efficiency27.0

9.4Strength of Schedule7.8

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

68.1Tempo66.8

56.4%Effective FG%56.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

28.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

7.2Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–65.8), offensive efficiency (122.2–117.8), defensive efficiency (95.2–107.2), net efficiency (27.0–10.6).

Texas Tech COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–7.8), ball security (15.8–15.9).

Final

Texas Tech

82—81

Duke

Texas Tech by 1 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas TechTEAM STATDuke

32-58FG27-52

55.0%FG%52.0%

7-223PT10-27

32.0%3PT%37.0%

11-17FT17-29

65.0%FT%59.0%

30Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists15

11Turnovers11

7Steals8

—Blocks2

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Christian Anderson	G	40	9-14	5-9	4-6	3	5	3	27
LeJuan Watts	F	27	10-17	0-4	0-0	6	3	3	20
JT Toppin	F	33	8-13	0-1	3-7	10	0	0	19
Leon Horner	G	13	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	6
Donovan Atwell	G	40	1-3	1-3	2-2	4	1	1	5
Jaylen Petty	G	31	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	5
Nolan Groves	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0
Tyeree Bryan	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	36	7-11	0-2	9-14	8	7	2	1	23
Cayden Boozer	G	19	5-8	2-5	1-2	0	2	0	0	13
Dame Sarr	G	10	3-7	3-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Caleb Foster	G	27	3-7	2-4	0-2	3	1	0	0	8
Nikolas Khamenia	G	18	3-8	2-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Maliq Brown	F	23	3-4	0-0	1-1	5	0	5	1	7
Darren Harris	G	16	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Isaiah Evans	G	30	1-4	0-2	2-3	5	1	0	0	4
Patrick Ngongba II	C	21	1-1	0-0	2-5	4	4	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

116.5Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency116.5

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

61.2%Effective FG%61.5%

62.1%True Shooting %61.6%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

29.3%Free Throw Rate55.8%

37.9%3-Point Rate51.9%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.