San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%San Diego State

93.8%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -17.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -1513

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 68

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreArizona 86

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricArizona

60.1MMH Power Index79.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency120.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency96.9

11.0Net Efficiency23.4

3.8Strength of Schedule8.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

70.8Tempo71.6

53.2%Effective FG%55.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate45.3%

7.8Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–60.1), offensive efficiency (120.3–110.3), defensive efficiency (96.9–99.3), net efficiency (23.4–11.0).

Final

San Diego State

45—68

Arizona

Arizona by 23 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATArizona

15-57FG22-58

26.0%FG%38.0%

1-143PT6-25

7.0%3PT%24.0%

14-19FT18-27

74.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds52

10Offensive Rebounds20

7Assists13

8Turnovers11

4Steals5

6Blocks3

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	30	2-10	0-4	4-4	3	2	0	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	24	2-7	0-3	3-4	2	1	1	0	7
Miles Heide	F	24	2-6	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	6
Pharaoh Compton	F	15	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2	6
BJ Davis	G	20	1-12	0-3	2-3	3	2	1	0	4
Elzie Harrington	G	19	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Tae Simmons	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	4
Magoon Gwath	F	24	1-6	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	4	3
Jeremiah Oden	F	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sean Newman Jr.	G	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Taj DeGourville	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Bradley	G	36	2-8	0-2	7-9	7	3	1	0	11
Koa Peat	F	23	5-9	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	0	11
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	29	3-8	1-5	3-4	2	1	2	0	10
Brayden Burries	G	25	4-12	1-6	1-1	3	2	1	0	10
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	20	3-11	3-8	1-2	2	2	0	0	10
Tobe Awaka	F	22	4-6	0-0	1-2	15	1	0	0	9
Dwayne Aristode	F	16	1-2	1-2	1-3	4	2	0	0	4
Motiejus Krivas	C	25	0-1	0-0	3-4	13	1	1	3	3
Sidi Gueye	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sven Djopmo	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Addison Arnold	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Nelson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

71.5Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency71.5

-36.6Net Efficiency36.6

27.2%Effective FG%43.1%

34.1%True Shooting %48.0%

12.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.3%Free Throw Rate46.6%

24.6%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Arizona won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.