Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.8%Gonzaga

7.2%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -1289

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 83

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreOregon 66

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricOregon

76.4MMH Power Index48.9

119.7Offensive Efficiency106.4

94.0Defensive Efficiency110.7

25.7Net Efficiency-4.3

3.0Strength of Schedule6.0

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.4Tempo66.7

55.7%Effective FG%49.9%

13.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

18.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–48.9), offensive efficiency (119.7–106.4), defensive efficiency (94.0–110.7), net efficiency (25.7–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–3.0), free throw rate (36.9–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

91—82

Oregon

Gonzaga by 9 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATOregon

29-62FG29-60

47.0%FG%48.0%

10-233PT11-32

43.0%3PT%34.0%

23-28FT13-13

82.0%FT%100.0%

35Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds9

20Assists20

5Turnovers11

6Steals3

2Blocks4

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braeden Smith	G	27	7-10	1-2	6-6	3	7	2	0	21
Braden Huff	F	26	9-16	1-3	1-1	6	1	0	1	20
Graham Ike	F	37	4-14	0-4	9-11	11	3	0	0	17
Steele Venters	G	25	4-5	4-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	14
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	14	2-5	1-1	5-6	4	1	0	1	10
Adam Miller	G	16	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	9
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	26	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Jalen Warley	G	16	0-3	0-0	0-2	1	1	1	0	0
Mario Saint-Supery	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Bittle	C	37	10-19	3-8	5-5	9	5	1	4	28
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	30	4-8	2-5	4-4	7	4	0	0	14
Takai Simpkins	G	33	4-8	3-6	2-2	3	1	0	0	13
Jackson Shelstad	G	36	5-13	2-9	0-0	0	4	0	0	12
Wei Lin	G	17	3-4	1-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	9
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	21	2-6	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Sean Stewart	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Ege Demir	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Jamari Phillips	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

134.2Offensive Efficiency120.9

120.9Defensive Efficiency134.2

13.3Net Efficiency-13.3

54.8%Effective FG%57.5%

60.4%True Shooting %62.0%

7.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

45.2%Free Throw Rate21.7%

37.1%3-Point Rate53.3%

4.00Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.