Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Missouri

93.5%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1438

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 69

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 87

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricIllinois

57.2MMH Power Index76.5

115.1Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.7Defensive Efficiency103.3

5.4Net Efficiency21.7

5.0Strength of Schedule6.7

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

68.8Tempo66.5

55.2%Effective FG%54.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

43.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

3.8Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–57.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.7), net efficiency (21.7–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–54.8), free throw rate (43.1–33.8).

Final

Missouri

48—91

Illinois

Illinois by 43 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATIllinois

16-56FG30-58

29.0%FG%52.0%

6-223PT15-33

27.0%3PT%45.0%

10-15FT16-20

67.0%FT%80.0%

24Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists20

10Turnovers11

8Steals3

1Blocks8

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Mack	G	25	6-11	3-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	17
Anthony Robinson II	G	26	3-11	2-6	4-5	2	0	4	0	12
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Mark Mitchell	G	27	2-6	0-2	1-2	2	2	1	1	5
Jacob Crews	G	30	1-9	1-4	0-1	4	1	0	0	3
T.O. Barrett	G	25	0-6	0-3	2-2	2	3	2	0	2
Trent Burns	C	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Annor Boateng	G	15	0-5	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Luke Northweather	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Nicholas Randall	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	34	7-11	5-6	3-4	8	4	2	2	22
Andrej Stojakovic	G	26	5-8	2-4	4-4	3	2	0	1	16
Tomislav Ivisic	C	21	4-7	3-5	3-4	5	1	0	0	14
David Mirkovic	F	29	4-6	1-2	0-0	5	5	1	1	9
Ben Humrichous	F	23	3-6	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	17	2-5	0-3	4-6	11	1	0	3	8
Kylan Boswell	G	22	3-8	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Jake Davis	F	19	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Brandon Lee	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jason Jakstys	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Mihailo Petrovic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

77.0Offensive Efficiency146.1

146.1Defensive Efficiency77.0

-69.0Net Efficiency69.0

33.9%Effective FG%64.7%

38.0%True Shooting %67.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.8%Free Throw Rate34.5%

39.3%3-Point Rate56.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Illinois won by 43 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.