East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%East Carolina

94.5%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -19.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -1718

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 66

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 86

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricNorth Carolina

44.3MMH Power Index65.2

102.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

-8.5Net Efficiency11.7

2.6Strength of Schedule7.6

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.1Tempo69.0

46.7%Effective FG%54.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

40.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

-5.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–44.3), offensive efficiency (115.5–102.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–110.5), net efficiency (11.7–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.9–31.1), free throw rate (40.2–38.1).

Final

East Carolina

51—99

North Carolina

North Carolina by 48 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATNorth Carolina

19-73FG34-63

26.0%FG%54.0%

2-223PT12-25

9.0%3PT%48.0%

11-17FT19-30

65.0%FT%63.0%

42Rebounds48

20Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists20

17Turnovers12

7Steals11

2Blocks5

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Giovanni Emejuru	C	34	8-11	0-0	5-7	14	0	1	1	21
Jordan Riley	G	35	4-24	0-3	3-6	3	0	3	0	11
Reid Cason	F	19	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Isaiah Mbeng	G	26	1-11	0-7	1-2	2	6	1	0	3
Paddy D'Arcy	G	14	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Vito Perkovic	F	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tybo Bailey	G	24	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Luke Davis	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Ladontae Felton	G	2	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Corey Caulker	G	32	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	24	7-11	0-0	7-13	12	1	3	4	21
Henri Veesaar	C	26	6-9	4-5	0-0	10	1	0	0	16
Luka Bogavac	G	24	5-9	1-3	4-5	4	2	0	0	15
Seth Trimble	G	26	5-12	1-3	1-2	4	5	1	0	12
Jonathan Powell	G	19	2-6	2-5	1-2	3	4	2	0	7
Jarin Stevenson	F	17	1-1	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	1	6
Isaiah Denis	G	8	2-4	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	6
Jaydon Young	G	10	1-3	1-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	4
Kyan Evans	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Elijah Davis	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Derek Dixon	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Ivan Matlekovic	C	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Evan Smith	G	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
James Brown	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Zayden High	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
John Holbrook	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

66.9Offensive Efficiency129.9

129.9Defensive Efficiency66.9

-63.0Net Efficiency63.0

27.4%Effective FG%63.5%

31.5%True Shooting %64.1%

21.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

23.3%Free Throw Rate47.6%

30.1%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 48 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.