Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Cal State Northridge

82.3%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStanford -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEStanford -465

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 74

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreStanford 84

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricStanford

50MMH Power Index59.2

107.3Offensive Efficiency111.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

2.1Net Efficiency4.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule5.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

75.9Tempo68.1

51.0%Effective FG%51.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.2%

1.6Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stanford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStanford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–50.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–107.3), net efficiency (4.5–2.1), strength of schedule (5.2–-0.6).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–107.1), offensive rebounding (32.9–32.4).

Final

Cal State Northridge

80—88

Stanford

Stanford by 8 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATStanford

24-51FG25-52

47.0%FG%48.0%

8-173PT11-27

47.0%3PT%41.0%

24-30FT27-38

80.0%FT%71.0%

30Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists16

15Turnovers13

6Steals9

1Blocks2

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	35	9-14	6-10	2-2	3	1	4	0	26
Joshua O'Garro	G	39	5-10	0-1	5-6	6	2	0	0	15
Mahmoud Fofana	F	33	4-6	0-0	3-6	7	0	0	0	11
Davius Loury	F	27	2-7	1-2	6-7	6	0	0	1	11
Josiah Davis	G	28	2-7	0-0	6-7	1	6	2	0	10
Jordan Brinson	G	18	1-2	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Grady Lewis	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Aleks Szymczyk	C	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
James Evans Jr.	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Jai Chisolm	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ebuka Okorie	G	37	9-18	4-9	8-10	3	2	1	0	30
Chisom Okpara	F	28	4-11	1-6	11-14	1	2	2	1	20
Benny Gealer	G	35	4-6	4-6	1-1	2	5	2	0	13
Ryan Agarwal	G	28	4-7	2-3	0-1	8	1	2	1	10
Oskar Giltay	F	19	3-4	0-0	2-4	5	2	1	0	8
Aidan Cammann	F	23	0-0	0-0	5-8	8	3	1	0	5
AJ Rohosy	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Jeremy Dent-Smith	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Donavin Young	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Thompson	F	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

106.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency106.4

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

54.9%Effective FG%58.7%

61.3%True Shooting %62.8%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.3%

58.8%Free Throw Rate73.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate51.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Stanford won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.