Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Florida State

77.4%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -342

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricNorth Carolina

58.7MMH Power Index65.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

3.4Net Efficiency11.7

5.7Strength of Schedule7.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.8Tempo69.0

52.4%Effective FG%54.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

2.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–58.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.5), net efficiency (11.7–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–-1.8).

Final

Florida State

66—79

North Carolina

North Carolina by 13 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

23-66FG29-68

35.0%FG%43.0%

12-403PT7-29

30.0%3PT%24.0%

8-14FT14-20

57.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds47

12Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists18

9Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chauncey Wiggins	F	34	5-14	3-9	3-4	10	0	1	1	16
Kobe MaGee	G	23	4-10	4-9	0-0	2	2	0	0	12
Robert McCray V	G	33	5-13	1-5	0-0	6	8	1	0	11
Lajae Jones	G	30	4-9	2-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	10
Martin Somerville	G	32	2-9	2-8	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Alex Steen	F	20	1-2	0-0	4-7	3	0	2	1	6
Alier Maluk	F	6	2-4	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
Thomas Bassong	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Cam Miles	G	14	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
AJ Swinton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	36	9-15	0-1	4-5	16	6	0	2	22
Seth Trimble	G	35	6-13	0-2	8-11	7	2	4	1	20
Kyan Evans	G	23	5-15	5-12	0-0	1	0	0	0	15
Henri Veesaar	C	29	6-7	0-0	0-2	12	3	1	0	12
Jonathan Powell	G	26	2-6	2-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Jarin Stevenson	F	14	1-4	0-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Derek Dixon	G	20	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Luka Bogavac	G	13	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaydon Young	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

94.8Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency94.8

-18.7Net Efficiency18.7

43.9%Effective FG%47.8%

45.4%True Shooting %51.0%

12.9%Turnover Rate11.5%

21.2%Free Throw Rate29.4%

60.6%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.44Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.