Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.2%Louisville

33.8%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -196

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 80

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia 77

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricCalifornia

67.1MMH Power Index56.5

118.6Offensive Efficiency111.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

16.4Net Efficiency7.0

6.0Strength of Schedule2.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

71.0Tempo69.9

56.9%Effective FG%52.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

11.7Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–104.8), net efficiency (16.4–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.8–1.4), ball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (36.8–34.1).

Final

Louisville

90—70

California

Louisville by 20 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATCalifornia

32-69FG20-59

46.0%FG%34.0%

14-373PT9-26

38.0%3PT%35.0%

12-14FT21-27

86.0%FT%78.0%

50Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists14

10Turnovers8

4Steals6

5Blocks4

25Fouls16

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	25	8-16	6-13	4-4	4	4	2	0	26
Adrian Wooley	G	27	9-14	3-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	21
Sananda Fru	F	26	4-8	0-1	5-7	14	2	0	2	13
Isaac McKneely	G	35	4-11	3-9	0-0	1	3	0	0	11
J'Vonne Hadley	G	31	4-7	1-2	2-2	9	3	1	1	11
Khani Rooths	F	18	2-4	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	1	5
Kobe Rodgers	G	22	1-4	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	3
Aly Khalifa	C	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	4	0	0	0
Vangelis Zougris	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Bell	F	36	5-11	3-7	7-8	1	2	2	1	20
Justin Pippen	G	31	5-14	3-7	4-4	3	5	2	2	17
Lee Dort	F	29	3-6	0-0	6-9	9	0	1	0	12
Dai Dai Ames	G	33	3-12	1-4	4-4	2	4	0	1	11
Semetri Carr	G	18	2-4	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	4
John Camden	F	32	1-10	1-7	0-1	5	1	0	0	3
Nolan Dorsey	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Milos Ilic	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

126.2Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency126.2

28.1Net Efficiency-28.1

56.5%Effective FG%41.5%

59.5%True Shooting %48.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate11.1%

20.3%Free Throw Rate45.8%

53.6%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.90Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Louisville won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.