Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Valparaiso

73.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -280

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 68

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricSouthern Illinois

49.9MMH Power Index54.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

105.8Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.8Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

48.7%Effective FG%49.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.5Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–49.9), defensive efficiency (98.5–105.8), net efficiency (4.9–0.8), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–103.4), ball security (15.6–17.0), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Valparaiso

70—75

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 5 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

21-66FG22-55

32.0%FG%40.0%

4-213PT6-18

19.0%3PT%33.0%

24-29FT25-42

83.0%FT%60.0%

47Rebounds43

14Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists12

10Turnovers9

4Steals6

6Blocks6

28Fouls21

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	32	7-15	1-3	11-12	7	0	0	0	26
JT Pettigrew	F	33	6-14	2-6	4-6	7	3	2	0	18
Shon Tupuola	C	23	2-6	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	4	6
Justus McNair	G	21	1-4	0-1	4-4	1	0	0	0	6
Carter Hopoi	F	15	2-5	0-2	1-1	5	0	0	2	5
Brody Whitaker	G	24	2-8	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Rakim Chaney	G	25	1-7	1-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Isaiah Barnes	G	6	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Mark Brown Jr.	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Tucker Tornatta	C	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sader Servilus	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prince Aligbe	F	22	4-7	0-1	4-5	3	1	0	2	12
Quel'Ron House	G	20	3-9	1-2	5-6	4	1	1	0	12
Drew Steffe	G	26	1-7	1-6	6-9	5	4	1	1	9
Rolyns Aligbe	F	23	3-8	2-2	1-4	12	0	0	0	9
Jalen Haynes	G	20	3-6	1-2	0-1	5	2	0	0	7
Isaiah Stafford	G	18	2-5	0-2	3-6	3	1	2	0	7
Davion Sykes	G	18	3-7	0-0	1-2	2	0	2	0	7
Jorge Moreno	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-5	3	1	0	1	6
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	24	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Max Pikaar	F	17	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	2	3

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

93.5Offensive Efficiency100.1

100.1Defensive Efficiency93.5

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

34.8%Effective FG%45.5%

43.9%True Shooting %50.0%

13.2%Turnover Rate12.2%

43.9%Free Throw Rate76.4%

31.8%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.