Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Indiana State

91.4%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -1063

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 62

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricNorthern Iowa

44.4MMH Power Index61

104.7Offensive Efficiency108.4

106.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

-1.3Net Efficiency12.0

0.1Strength of Schedule2.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

70.3Tempo64.1

53.6%Effective FG%54.6%

19.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

28.8%Free Throw Rate26.2%

-0.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–104.7), defensive efficiency (96.4–106.0), net efficiency (12.0–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.3–21.9), free throw rate (28.8–26.2).

Final

Indiana State

66—75

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 9 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

29-55FG31-57

53.0%FG%54.0%

6-263PT3-13

23.0%3PT%23.0%

2-4FT10-15

50.0%FT%67.0%

22Rebounds35

2Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists12

11Turnovers9

5Steals8

2Blocks2

16Fouls6

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Scott	F	28	7-10	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	15
Sterling Young	G	18	6-9	1-3	1-1	1	2	0	0	14
Camp Wagner	G	30	4-9	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	29	3-9	1-6	0-0	5	7	2	0	7
Derek Vorst	C	26	3-4	1-1	0-2	3	2	0	2	7
Enel St. Bernard	F	21	2-2	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	5
Bruno Alocen	G	15	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	2	2	0	5
Xavier Hall	G	28	1-7	0-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Hunter Harding	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	37	7-13	2-7	2-3	2	4	2	1	18
Ben Schwieger	F	34	7-13	0-1	3-3	6	2	1	0	17
Tristan Smith	F	34	6-11	0-1	3-4	6	1	1	0	15
Leon Bond III	F	38	5-7	1-2	0-1	10	4	2	1	11
Ismael Diouf	F	27	3-7	0-2	1-1	4	1	0	0	7
Will Hornseth	F	13	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Kyle Pock	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	1	0	2
Max Weisbrod	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

102.3Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency102.3

-14.0Net Efficiency14.0

58.2%Effective FG%57.0%

58.0%True Shooting %58.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

7.3%Free Throw Rate26.3%

47.3%3-Point Rate22.8%

1.64Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.