Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Murray State

70.2%UIC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -236

UIC

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 76

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreUIC 82

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricUIC

53.6MMH Power Index56.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

4.0Net Efficiency7.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.2

72.3Tempo68.3

54.0%Effective FG%50.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.2%

2.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UIC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUIC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.7–53.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–4.0), recent form (9.2–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.9).

Final

Murray State

81—77

UIC

Murray State by 4 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATUIC

27-67FG26-64

40.0%FG%41.0%

8-243PT4-12

33.0%3PT%33.0%

19-22FT21-26

86.0%FT%81.0%

41Rebounds42

18Offensive Rebounds18

17Assists14

14Turnovers15

8Steals8

6Blocks4

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred King	C	30	8-11	0-0	2-3	16	0	0	3	18
Javon Jackson	G	22	5-16	3-5	2-4	3	4	3	0	15
Mason Miller	F	25	3-8	2-6	2-2	4	0	0	0	10
JJ Traynor	F	23	3-8	0-2	2-2	4	1	1	2	8
Roman Domon	G	19	2-5	0-2	4-4	1	2	2	0	8
Layne Taylor	G	27	1-5	1-5	4-4	3	4	0	0	7
Mathis Courbon	G	18	1-3	1-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	5
Brayden Shorter	G	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
Brock Vice	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
KJ Tenner	G	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	0	2
Dylan Anderson	C	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Henderson II	G	32	5-12	0-4	12-15	5	3	2	0	22
Jayce Nathaniel	F	26	7-9	3-3	0-0	5	1	2	0	17
Abdul Momoh	F	24	6-10	0-0	2-3	1	1	1	1	14
Andy Johnson	G	26	2-9	1-2	4-4	5	4	0	1	9
Mekhi Lowery	G	26	3-11	0-0	1-2	8	3	1	1	7
Rashund Washington Jr.	G	28	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	2
Josiah Hammons	G	19	0-4	0-3	2-2	1	2	0	1	2
Sam Silverstein	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Ante Beljan	F	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

110.2Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency110.2

5.4Net Efficiency-5.4

46.3%Effective FG%43.8%

52.3%True Shooting %50.4%

19.1%Turnover Rate20.4%

32.8%Free Throw Rate40.6%

35.8%3-Point Rate18.8%

1.21Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Murray State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.