Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Evansville

95.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -20.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -2074

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 62

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 82

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIllinois State

31.6MMH Power Index54.3

98.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

-13.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.8Strength of Schedule1.0

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.0Tempo67.5

50.0%Effective FG%54.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-9.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Evansville

47—73

Illinois State

Illinois State by 26 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIllinois State

16-51FG27-58

31.0%FG%47.0%

6-203PT7-22

30.0%3PT%32.0%

9-13FT12-19

69.0%FT%63.0%

37Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists12

23Turnovers9

3Steals10

4Blocks2

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Quinet	G	29	5-8	3-3	0-0	4	2	1	0	13
AJ Casey	F	21	3-6	1-1	1-2	7	1	0	1	8
Alex Hemenway	G	25	1-5	1-4	4-4	1	0	1	0	7
Leif Moeller	G	21	1-8	0-3	2-2	6	0	0	2	4
Keishon Porter	G	18	2-7	0-0	0-1	1	2	0	0	4
Joshua Hughes	F	20	1-4	0-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Trent Hundley	F	18	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Connor Turnbull	F	17	1-7	0-1	1-2	6	1	0	1	3
James Dyson-Merwe	F	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Kaia Berridge	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	28	9-16	0-1	4-7	8	0	0	0	22
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	33	4-5	1-2	3-5	6	4	1	0	12
Landon Wolf	G	15	4-4	2-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	12
Jack Daugherty	F	24	2-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Brandon Lieb	F	12	2-6	0-0	1-3	6	1	3	0	5
Johnny Kinziger	G	30	2-5	0-3	0-0	3	4	1	1	4
Ty Pence	G	23	1-6	0-4	2-2	5	2	1	1	4
Boden Skunberg	G	19	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Landon Moore	G	15	1-5	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ty Blake	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

65.6Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency65.6

-36.3Net Efficiency36.3

37.3%Effective FG%52.6%

41.1%True Shooting %54.5%

31.9%Turnover Rate12.7%

25.5%Free Throw Rate32.8%

39.2%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.30Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.