Chattanooga

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Chattanooga

64.5%UNC Greensboro

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Greensboro -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Greensboro -182

UNC Greensboro

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChattanooga 78

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 81

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaMetricUNC Greensboro

45.9MMH Power Index46.7

112.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

110.5Defensive Efficiency115.3

2.2Net Efficiency-2.7

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.9

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.1Tempo69.8

55.1%Effective FG%52.8%

14.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

23.5%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

29.2%Free Throw Rate41.7%

1.4Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.7–112.6), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.3), net efficiency (2.2–-2.7), shooting efficiency (55.1–52.8).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.7–45.9), strength of schedule (-1.9–-4.4), recent form (2.2–-0.1).

Final

Chattanooga

72—77

UNC Greensboro

UNC Greensboro by 5 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ChattanoogaTEAM STATUNC Greensboro

28-59FG25-54

47.0%FG%46.0%

11-353PT6-19

31.0%3PT%32.0%

5-9FT21-31

56.0%FT%68.0%

25Rebounds41

5Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists9

9Turnovers12

8Steals7

4Blocks—

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jikari Johnson	G	26	5-11	3-7	2-4	6	1	1	0	15
Jordan Frison	G	35	6-13	0-3	0-0	0	7	2	0	12
Brennan Watkins	G	27	4-7	4-7	0-1	1	0	1	0	12
Collin Mulholland	F	16	5-7	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	1	12
Tate Darner	G	25	3-8	1-6	0-0	7	2	2	0	7
Josh Bowman	F	17	2-4	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	2	5
Houston Holland	G	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	4
Billy Smith	G	21	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	3
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Parker Robison	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Makai Richards	C	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
KJ Younger	G	28	7-14	1-6	9-11	9	0	1	24
Justin Neely	F	33	5-8	1-2	6-12	11	4	0	17
Donald Whitehead Jr.	G	29	4-9	2-4	3-4	4	3	3	13
Noah Norgaard	G	32	2-8	1-3	2-2	3	2	0	7
Domas Kauzonas	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	6
Valentino Pinedo	F	29	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	3	4
Lilian Marville	G	13	1-2	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	4
Landon King	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
Clinton Efinda	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0
Assane Mandian	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

107.5Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency107.5

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

56.8%Effective FG%51.9%

56.9%True Shooting %56.0%

13.4%Turnover Rate18.0%

15.3%Free Throw Rate57.4%

59.3%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.78Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

UNC Greensboro won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.