UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%UC San Diego

43.5%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -130

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 81

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreCal Poly 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal Poly

53.4MMH Power Index46.5

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.7Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.3Strength of Schedule1.7

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

69.8Tempo76.6

53.1%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

5.4Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–111.0), net efficiency (7.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.3), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.9), free throw rate (35.8–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

65—67

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 2 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal Poly

23-65FG23-66

35.0%FG%35.0%

8-323PT11-42

25.0%3PT%26.0%

11-13FT10-14

85.0%FT%71.0%

44Rebounds44

15Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists10

11Turnovers9

8Steals6

1Blocks4

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Chaikin	G	24	5-13	5-10	2-2	3	0	1	0	17
Hudson Mayes	G	27	4-6	0-0	4-5	12	1	0	0	12
Bol Dengdit	F	24	5-10	0-1	2-2	12	2	0	0	12
Leo Beath	F	31	2-11	1-6	2-2	1	0	2	0	7
Tom Beattie	G	30	3-9	0-5	1-2	3	3	3	0	7
Aidan Burke	G	23	2-9	1-7	0-0	0	0	1	1	5
Trap Johnson	G	9	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Emanuel Prospere II	G	19	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	4	1	0	0
Jaden Vance	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	36	9-17	5-10	3-5	9	2	0	1	26
Peter Bandelj	G	32	5-12	3-8	2-2	3	1	0	0	15
Cayden Ward	G	33	2-11	1-7	3-4	11	0	1	1	8
Jake Davis	G	31	2-9	0-4	2-2	5	3	2	1	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	29	2-10	2-10	0-1	2	0	2	0	6
Ali Assran	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	4
Luka Tarlac	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Austin Goode	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

97.7Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency97.7

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

41.5%Effective FG%43.2%

45.7%True Shooting %46.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.7%

20.0%Free Throw Rate21.2%

49.2%3-Point Rate63.6%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.