Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Portland State

62.5%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -167

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricWeber State

50.2MMH Power Index50.2

109.3Offensive Efficiency113.6

100.2Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.1Net Efficiency5.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.1Tempo71.5

51.7%Effective FG%52.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.4Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.6–109.3), strength of schedule (-3.4–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.7), ball security (15.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–108.2), net efficiency (9.1–5.4), recent form (0.4–-1.8).

Final

Portland State

95—90

Weber State

Portland State by 5 • 84.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATWeber State

32-75FG27-67

43.0%FG%40.0%

12-283PT7-26

43.0%3PT%27.0%

19-29FT29-42

66.0%FT%69.0%

51Rebounds46

16Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists17

12Turnovers10

7Steals6

7Blocks4

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	45	11-24	3-6	9-16	6	7	2	1	34
Terri Miller Jr.	F	33	12-16	5-6	0-3	5	3	1	0	29
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	41	4-14	2-4	2-2	13	1	0	1	12
Alex Dupre	G	35	2-10	2-8	4-4	4	2	0	1	10
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	25	3-3	0-0	4-4	13	0	1	3	10
Kelcy Phipps	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Sebastian Tidor	G	12	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Brayden Barron	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Isaiah Williams	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	40	5-11	3-6	10-14	7	8	1	0	23
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	40	7-14	0-2	5-10	12	1	3	3	19
Nigel Burris	F	25	6-11	1-2	3-4	8	0	0	0	16
Jace Whiting	G	40	3-14	1-6	5-6	3	6	0	0	12
Viljami Vartiainen	G	27	3-9	2-7	2-2	3	0	1	0	10
Trevor Hennig	G	22	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	1	1	0	5
Malek Gomma	F	17	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Duce Paschal	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Declan Cutler	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

84.4Possessions84.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency112.6

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

50.7%Effective FG%45.5%

53.5%True Shooting %51.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate11.9%

38.7%Free Throw Rate62.7%

37.3%3-Point Rate38.8%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Portland State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 84.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.