Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Northern Colorado

62.2%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -165

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 76

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricMontana State

53.7MMH Power Index53.6

116.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

8.4Net Efficiency9.5

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.7

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

71.1Tempo68.1

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.0Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–8.4), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.3), ball security (14.7–15.3).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.4), recent form (10.8–4.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

75—89

Montana State

Montana State by 14 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATMontana State

27-64FG33-63

42.0%FG%52.0%

9-253PT10-28

36.0%3PT%36.0%

12-13FT13-18

92.0%FT%72.0%

36Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists9

13Turnovers7

2Steals7

—Blocks3

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zach Bloch	G	36	6-14	4-9	2-3	3	3	1	18
Ibu Yamazaki	F	33	4-9	3-7	4-4	1	0	0	15
Quinn Denker	G	38	6-17	0-1	2-2	6	7	0	14
Vincent Delano	G	18	3-5	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	9
Brock Wisne	F	36	3-10	0-3	2-2	7	1	0	8
Egan Shields	C	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	11	0	0	6
Ring Nyeri	F	18	2-5	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	5
Ariik Mawien	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	35	9-14	3-7	3-3	6	2	2	0	24
Davian Brown	G	28	6-9	4-7	5-6	4	1	2	0	21
Jeremiah Davis	G	28	7-10	1-3	1-3	5	2	2	1	16
Christian King	F	27	4-11	2-6	4-5	4	3	0	0	14
Jaden Steppe	F	18	3-6	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Patrick McMahon	G	29	2-8	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Seth Amunrud	G	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Chris Hodges	F	21	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	2	0
Howie Keene	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

104.3Offensive Efficiency123.8

123.8Defensive Efficiency104.3

-19.5Net Efficiency19.5

49.2%Effective FG%60.3%

53.4%True Shooting %62.2%

18.0%Turnover Rate9.8%

20.3%Free Throw Rate28.6%

39.1%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Montana State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.