Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%Utah Valley

24.9%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -302

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 78

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricTarleton State

59.1MMH Power Index44.6

113.4Offensive Efficiency103.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency101.6

16.1Net Efficiency1.6

-3.3Strength of Schedule-2.3

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.6Tempo72.2

56.0%Effective FG%49.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.8%

11.4Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (16.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), free throw rate (42.8–37.3).

Final

Utah Valley

91—85

Tarleton State

Utah Valley by 6 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATTarleton State

29-53FG26-62

55.0%FG%42.0%

6-183PT5-18

33.0%3PT%28.0%

27-36FT28-32

75.0%FT%88.0%

40Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists10

17Turnovers9

4Steals11

4Blocks2

24Fouls26

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Holcombe	G	35	6-8	0-1	10-11	5	4	2	2	22
Trevan Leonhardt	G	36	2-6	0-2	11-14	6	5	0	0	15
Hayden Welling	F	25	6-9	2-2	1-3	7	1	0	0	15
Isaac Hawkins	F	13	5-6	0-0	2-4	9	1	0	0	12
Tyler Hendricks	G	19	4-8	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Braden Housley	G	25	2-4	0-2	3-4	4	2	2	1	7
Isaac Davis	F	10	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Noah Taitz	G	24	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Johnson	G	32	12-21	3-5	9-12	2	0	1	0	36
Cam McDowell	G	32	7-15	0-3	12-12	2	3	1	1	26
Freddy Hicks	G	40	4-9	1-1	5-6	10	2	0	1	14
Leroy Kelly IV	G	29	1-6	0-3	2-2	3	2	4	0	4
Kade Douglas	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	3
Jordan Mizell	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
Kaia Isaac	G	28	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Chris Mpaka	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
DJ Dormu	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

119.4Offensive Efficiency111.5

111.5Defensive Efficiency119.4

7.9Net Efficiency-7.9

60.4%Effective FG%46.0%

64.9%True Shooting %55.1%

22.3%Turnover Rate11.8%

67.9%Free Throw Rate51.6%

34.0%3-Point Rate29.0%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.