UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.8%UC Irvine

8.2%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -1120

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 84

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 69

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricCal State Bakersfield

58.4MMH Power Index32.2

106.9Offensive Efficiency100.2

95.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

11.9Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.3Tempo73.0

50.7%Effective FG%46.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.6%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

8.6Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (106.9–100.2), defensive efficiency (95.0–112.6), net efficiency (11.9–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (43.8–36.5).

Final

UC Irvine

81—77

Cal State Bakersfield

UC Irvine by 4 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

28-52FG29-72

54.0%FG%40.0%

8-133PT5-13

62.0%3PT%38.0%

17-25FT14-18

68.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds20

13Assists9

15Turnovers9

2Steals7

6Blocks3

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	32	8-13	6-7	4-6	2	2	0	0	26
Andre Henry	G	19	3-6	1-2	4-4	1	0	0	0	11
Harrison Carrington	F	18	4-6	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	11
Kyle Evans	F	33	4-7	0-0	2-4	11	0	0	4	10
Tama Isaac	G	26	3-4	0-0	2-2	3	6	0	0	8
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	17	2-6	1-3	2-2	5	0	2	1	7
Derin Saran	G	31	2-7	0-1	0-2	3	4	0	0	4
Elijah Chol	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	4
Nes Emeneke	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Jessamy	F	32	11-16	1-1	2-3	12	1	1	1	25
CJ Hardy	G	27	5-15	1-3	3-4	5	3	0	0	14
Jaden Alexander	G	32	4-12	0-3	1-2	5	0	1	1	9
Dailin Smith	G	19	3-9	0-1	3-3	0	0	0	0	9
AJ George	G	31	1-5	0-1	4-4	3	2	0	0	6
Mike Price	G	13	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Kadar Waller	G	20	2-7	1-2	0-0	1	3	4	0	5
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	26	1-4	0-0	1-2	10	0	1	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency116.0

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

61.5%Effective FG%43.8%

63.4%True Shooting %47.8%

21.5%Turnover Rate12.9%

48.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

25.0%3-Point Rate18.1%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.