Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Michigan State

54.9%Nebraska

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNebraska -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.9

MODEL MONEYLINENebraska -122

Nebraska

28-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 72

Projected Total145.9

Projected ScoreNebraska 74

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricNebraska

69.8MMH Power Index67

117.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency98.3

15.5Net Efficiency16.1

7.2Strength of Schedule6.1

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

67.3Tempo67.3

54.1%Effective FG%55.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.4%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

36.6%Free Throw Rate26.9%

10.5Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–67.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–114.4), strength of schedule (7.2–6.1), recent form (9.5–6.8).

Nebraska COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.3–101.5), net efficiency (16.1–15.5), shooting efficiency (55.6–54.1).

Final

Michigan State

56—58

Nebraska

Nebraska by 2 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATNebraska

17-50FG18-57

34.0%FG%32.0%

10-283PT13-37

36.0%3PT%35.0%

12-15FT9-13

80.0%FT%69.0%

45Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists15

21Turnovers8

5Steals7

4Blocks5

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	32	7-10	5-6	0-0	11	1	2	0	19
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	35	2-8	0-4	10-10	0	7	0	0	14
Kur Teng	G	28	4-15	4-12	0-0	5	0	1	0	12
Carson Cooper	C	31	2-6	0-0	2-5	13	1	0	0	6
Trey Fort	G	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Coen Carr	F	30	1-5	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	2	2
Jordan Scott	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Cam Ward	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2	0
Denham Wojcik	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rienk Mast	F	36	6-15	6-13	1-2	7	3	0	3	19
Pryce Sandfort	F	21	5-13	3-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
Jamarques Lawrence	G	33	3-8	1-4	5-5	2	3	0	0	12
Braden Frager	F	30	3-8	3-5	0-0	5	3	4	0	9
Sam Hoiberg	G	32	1-5	0-2	2-2	4	5	1	0	4
Cale Jacobsen	G	16	0-2	0-2	1-4	1	0	0	0	1
Berke Buyuktuncel	F	24	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	2	2	0
Jared Garcia	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

85.9Offensive Efficiency89.0

89.0Defensive Efficiency85.9

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

44.0%Effective FG%43.0%

49.0%True Shooting %45.9%

31.3%Turnover Rate12.7%

30.0%Free Throw Rate22.8%

56.0%3-Point Rate64.9%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Nebraska won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.