Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%Providence

90.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -999

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 74

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreSt. John's 90

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricSt. John's

54.2MMH Power Index70.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

1.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate41.1%

1.3Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

Providence

77—71

St. John's

Providence by 6 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATSt. John's

25-64FG20-71

39.0%FG%28.0%

6-183PT7-31

33.0%3PT%23.0%

21-28FT24-37

75.0%FT%65.0%

44Rebounds51

15Offensive Rebounds25

9Assists9

12Turnovers12

7Steals6

4Blocks9

26Fouls24

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	28	5-9	4-6	2-3	6	2	1	2	16
Jaylin Sellers	G	37	6-16	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	15
Jamier Jones	F	25	5-7	0-0	5-7	10	2	2	0	15
Jason Edwards	G	25	3-14	1-4	4-6	3	1	1	0	11
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	26	3-4	0-0	4-4	9	0	0	1	10
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	20	2-6	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	1	6
Duncan Powell	F	13	1-6	0-3	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Cole Hargrove	F	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	2	0	2
Ryan Mela	G	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	34	8-16	3-6	14-23	15	2	2	3	33
Bryce Hopkins	F	27	3-13	1-5	2-4	10	0	0	2	9
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	13	2-5	2-3	1-2	3	0	0	1	7
Oziyah Sellers	G	35	3-10	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Ian Jackson	G	14	1-8	0-6	4-4	1	2	1	0	6
Dillon Mitchell	F	14	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Joson Sanon	G	36	1-12	1-5	0-0	5	3	1	0	3
Ruben Prey	F	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2	2
Dylan Darling	G	20	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	1	2	1	1
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

102.8Offensive Efficiency94.8

94.8Defensive Efficiency102.8

8.0Net Efficiency-8.0

43.8%Effective FG%33.1%

49.8%True Shooting %40.1%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate52.1%

28.1%3-Point Rate43.7%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Providence won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.