Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.6%Duke

11.4%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -777

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreFlorida State 71

Team Comparison

DukeMetricFlorida State

81.7MMH Power Index58.7

122.2Offensive Efficiency111.9

95.2Defensive Efficiency108.5

27.0Net Efficiency3.4

7.8Strength of Schedule5.7

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

66.8Tempo71.8

56.9%Effective FG%52.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate35.2%

18.0Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–58.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.9), defensive efficiency (95.2–108.5), net efficiency (27.0–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–15.9).

Final

Duke

91—87

Florida State

Duke by 4 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATFlorida State

28-53FG31-58

53.0%FG%53.0%

12-273PT14-30

44.0%3PT%47.0%

23-25FT11-16

92.0%FT%69.0%

31Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds9

23Assists17

15Turnovers13

8Steals10

7Blocks5

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Evans	G	33	8-17	6-14	6-6	3	1	1	2	28
Cameron Boozer	F	36	5-9	0-2	7-8	5	9	4	0	17
Caleb Foster	G	31	4-9	3-5	2-2	5	1	0	0	13
Dame Sarr	G	23	4-5	3-4	2-3	3	0	0	0	13
Patrick Ngongba II	C	26	4-5	0-0	2-2	7	3	1	3	10
Cayden Boozer	G	25	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	6	0	0	4
Maliq Brown	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	2	4
Nikolas Khamenia	G	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Darren Harris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chauncey Wiggins	F	32	8-12	4-6	2-2	3	3	0	0	22
Robert McCray V	G	31	7-9	3-3	5-7	2	5	2	2	22
Kobe MaGee	G	28	6-11	4-7	1-3	2	2	2	0	17
Martin Somerville	G	25	3-6	2-5	2-2	1	3	0	0	10
Lajae Jones	G	33	3-8	1-6	0-0	4	2	2	1	7
Alex Steen	F	19	2-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	2	0	5
Cam Miles	G	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Thomas Bassong	F	5	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Alier Maluk	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

130.4Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency130.4

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

64.2%Effective FG%65.5%

70.1%True Shooting %66.3%

21.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

47.2%Free Throw Rate27.6%

50.9%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.53Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Duke won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.