Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Tennessee

64.3%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -180

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 80

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreArkansas 84

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricArkansas

68.6MMH Power Index69.3

115.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

13.7Net Efficiency12.4

7.8Strength of Schedule8.6

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.1Tempo73.8

51.6%Effective FG%56.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

9.3Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–68.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.8), strength of schedule (8.6–7.8), recent form (3.4–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–109.8), net efficiency (13.7–12.4), offensive rebounding (44.5–31.8).

Final

Tennessee

75—86

Arkansas

Arkansas by 11 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATArkansas

29-59FG25-59

49.0%FG%42.0%

5-133PT7-23

38.0%3PT%30.0%

12-23FT29-33

52.0%FT%88.0%

33Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists7

14Turnovers14

11Steals8

2Blocks10

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amari Evans	G	23	7-7	1-1	1-2	3	1	3	0	16
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	35	5-15	2-7	2-2	2	4	2	0	14
Nate Ament	F	32	4-9	0-1	5-11	3	3	2	0	13
J.P. Estrella	F	10	3-3	1-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	9
Bishop Boswell	G	21	2-3	1-2	1-2	4	3	2	0	6
DeWayne Brown II	F	16	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jaylen Carey	F	16	3-8	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	6
Felix Okpara	F	31	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	2	3
Amaree Abram	G	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Ethan Burg	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	36	9-16	3-7	8-9	3	4	1	1	29
Meleek Thomas	G	30	6-13	3-4	3-3	3	1	3	0	18
Malique Ewin	F	27	2-4	0-0	8-8	6	0	1	4	12
Karter Knox	G	27	3-8	1-5	4-5	7	0	1	1	11
Trevon Brazile	F	38	3-10	0-5	1-2	7	0	2	1	7
Billy Richmond III	G	15	2-5	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	5
D.J. Wagner	G	14	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	2	0	2	2
Nick Pringle	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency100.3

-14.7Net Efficiency14.7

53.4%Effective FG%48.3%

53.6%True Shooting %57.6%

19.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate55.9%

22.0%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.