Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

96.4%Illinois

3.6%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -19.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2678

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 87

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScorePenn State 68

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricPenn State

76.5MMH Power Index42.3

125.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.3Defensive Efficiency117.6

21.7Net Efficiency-8.4

6.7Strength of Schedule5.3

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

66.5Tempo67.5

54.8%Effective FG%53.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

14.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–117.6), net efficiency (21.7–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–33.8).

Final

Illinois

73—65

Penn State

Illinois by 8 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATPenn State

22-56FG24-69

39.0%FG%35.0%

6-273PT8-38

22.0%3PT%21.0%

23-28FT9-14

82.0%FT%64.0%

48Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists11

10Turnovers7

4Steals7

6Blocks1

17Fouls26

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylan Boswell	G	35	5-13	2-5	6-6	4	0	0	0	18
Keaton Wagler	G	20	4-9	1-5	7-8	3	3	0	0	16
David Mirkovic	F	26	4-8	0-3	5-6	10	3	1	0	13
Andrej Stojakovic	G	31	4-9	0-2	4-4	6	1	0	1	12
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	23	2-4	1-3	1-4	10	0	0	5	6
Ben Humrichous	F	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Jake Davis	F	15	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Tomislav Ivisic	C	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Mihailo Petrovic	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Brandon Lee	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	27	5-12	2-8	4-4	2	5	4	0	16
Eli Rice	G	28	4-10	2-7	1-2	4	0	2	0	11
Freddie Dilione V	G	26	4-11	1-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	9
Ivan Juric	F	22	2-8	1-5	3-5	3	0	1	0	8
Saša Ciani	F	18	3-6	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	6
Melih Tunca	G	22	2-8	0-2	1-1	3	1	0	0	5
Mason Blackwood	F	9	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Dominick Stewart	G	26	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	1	3
Tibor Mirtic	F	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Josh Reed	F	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

108.1Offensive Efficiency96.3

96.3Defensive Efficiency108.1

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

44.6%Effective FG%40.6%

52.7%True Shooting %43.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate10.2%

50.0%Free Throw Rate20.3%

48.2%3-Point Rate55.1%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.