USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.2%USC

94.8%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -18.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1823

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 68

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreMichigan State 86

Team Comparison

USCMetricMichigan State

48.3MMH Power Index69.8

108.5Offensive Efficiency117.0

107.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

0.9Net Efficiency15.5

2.5Strength of Schedule7.2

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

72.4Tempo67.3

50.7%Effective FG%54.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

45.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–48.3), offensive efficiency (117.0–108.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.6), net efficiency (15.5–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–36.6).

Final

USC

51—80

Michigan State

Michigan State by 29 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATMichigan State

18-55FG30-60

33.0%FG%50.0%

3-173PT7-22

18.0%3PT%32.0%

12-16FT13-18

75.0%FT%72.0%

30Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists15

17Turnovers12

6Steals9

3Blocks6

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ezra Ausar	F	30	5-11	0-0	6-8	7	1	1	2	16
Jerry Easter II	G	30	4-9	0-2	4-6	0	1	2	0	12
Jacob Cofie	F	33	3-9	1-4	0-0	5	2	2	0	7
Ryan Cornish	G	21	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	5
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	1	4
Jaden Brownell	F	11	1-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Terrance Williams II	F	19	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Gabe Dynes	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kam Woods	G	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Jordan Marsh	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	24	6-14	1-5	5-8	6	1	1	1	18
Jaxon Kohler	F	25	6-6	3-3	1-1	8	1	1	1	16
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	28	6-13	0-3	3-3	3	7	0	0	15
Jordan Scott	F	18	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	1	8
Kur Teng	G	18	4-8	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Carson Cooper	C	27	1-1	0-0	3-4	4	2	1	2	5
Divine Ugochukwu	G	17	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Cam Ward	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	0	3
Denham Wojcik	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	2
Jesse McCulloch	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Trey Fort	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colin Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

71.7Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency71.7

-40.8Net Efficiency40.8

35.5%Effective FG%55.8%

40.7%True Shooting %58.4%

23.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.1%Free Throw Rate30.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.