St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.0%St. John's

19.0%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -426

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 83

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreButler 74

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricButler

70.3MMH Power Index52.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.7

97.6Defensive Efficiency109.1

16.8Net Efficiency2.6

5.5Strength of Schedule3.1

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

70.9Tempo71.1

51.3%Effective FG%51.2%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate42.9%

11.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–52.7), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.7), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.1), net efficiency (16.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (42.9–41.1).

Final

St. John's

84—70

Butler

St. John's by 14 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATButler

33-66FG24-48

50.0%FG%50.0%

7-193PT7-17

37.0%3PT%41.0%

11-15FT15-18

73.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists11

5Turnovers21

12Steals3

4Blocks1

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	30	6-12	0-2	6-7	5	2	3	1	18
Bryce Hopkins	F	24	7-12	1-1	2-2	4	2	2	0	17
Oziyah Sellers	G	33	5-11	0-2	0-0	5	4	1	0	10
Ruben Prey	F	18	4-5	2-2	0-1	1	0	2	1	10
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	18	4-8	2-6	0-1	0	1	0	0	10
Ian Jackson	G	22	2-8	1-3	2-2	1	0	3	0	7
Dillon Mitchell	F	33	3-5	0-0	0-0	7	5	1	1	6
Joson Sanon	G	21	2-5	1-3	1-2	1	1	0	1	6
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Finley Bizjack	G	35	8-16	3-7	2-2	2	0	0	0	21
Michael Ajayi	F	30	4-7	0-0	6-7	9	5	0	1	14
Evan Haywood	G	22	4-7	3-6	0-0	3	0	2	0	11
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	12	2-4	0-0	3-3	1	1	0	0	7
Yohan Traore	F	21	2-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Yame Butler	G	10	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	28	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Drayton Jones	C	21	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	3	1	0	2
Azavier Robinson	G	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jackson Keith	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

117.6Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

19.6Net Efficiency-19.6

55.3%Effective FG%57.3%

57.4%True Shooting %61.9%

7.0%Turnover Rate29.4%

22.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

28.8%3-Point Rate35.4%

3.20Assist / Turnover0.52

Game Summary

St. John's won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.