Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.4%Duke

24.6%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -307

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 79

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreLouisville 74

Team Comparison

DukeMetricLouisville

81.7MMH Power Index67.1

122.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

95.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

27.0Net Efficiency16.4

7.8Strength of Schedule6.0

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

66.8Tempo71.0

56.9%Effective FG%56.9%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

18.0Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–67.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.2), net efficiency (27.0–16.4).

Final

Duke

84—73

Louisville

Duke by 11 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATLouisville

29-57FG26-65

51.0%FG%40.0%

7-233PT12-38

30.0%3PT%32.0%

19-28FT9-12

68.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists13

12Turnovers14

11Steals7

2Blocks1

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	39	10-12	3-4	4-5	8	4	2	0	27
Isaiah Evans	G	36	7-17	4-10	5-5	6	0	4	1	23
Caleb Foster	G	34	9-13	0-2	2-6	4	2	1	0	20
Dame Sarr	G	26	1-5	0-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Patrick Ngongba II	C	10	1-4	0-1	2-4	3	0	0	0	4
Maliq Brown	F	28	1-2	0-0	0-0	8	1	3	1	2
Darren Harris	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Cayden Boozer	G	15	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Nikolas Khamenia	G	7	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	1

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	33	8-19	4-11	4-4	7	1	1	0	24
Aly Khalifa	C	20	6-6	5-5	0-0	2	1	2	0	17
Adrian Wooley	G	32	5-11	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
J'Vonne Hadley	G	30	3-8	1-4	0-0	5	4	2	0	7
Isaac McKneely	G	31	1-5	1-5	3-4	4	1	1	0	6
Khani Rooths	F	12	2-8	0-5	2-2	5	2	0	1	6
Sananda Fru	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-2	4	2	0	0	2
Kobe Rodgers	G	20	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	0
Kasean Pryor	F	8	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

112.8Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency112.8

14.8Net Efficiency-14.8

57.0%Effective FG%49.2%

59.7%True Shooting %51.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate18.7%

49.1%Free Throw Rate18.5%

40.4%3-Point Rate58.5%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Duke won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.