Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.8%Michigan

2.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -23.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -4445

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 91

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScorePenn State 68

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricPenn State

80.9MMH Power Index42.3

122.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

25.3Net Efficiency-8.4

8.7Strength of Schedule5.3

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

71.8Tempo67.5

58.8%Effective FG%53.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

18.1Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–42.3), offensive efficiency (122.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–117.6), net efficiency (25.3–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Michigan

74—72

Penn State

Michigan by 2 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATPenn State

26-57FG23-66

46.0%FG%35.0%

8-273PT8-30

30.0%3PT%27.0%

14-19FT18-23

74.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists10

12Turnovers10

3Steals7

7Blocks1

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
L.J. Cason	G	17	5-8	2-3	2-3	3	2	0	0	14
Trey McKenney	G	24	5-7	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Nimari Burnett	G	21	5-7	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	27	3-9	0-4	4-4	7	4	0	1	10
Elliot Cadeau	G	27	3-8	1-5	2-2	2	1	1	0	9
Aday Mara	C	24	2-5	0-0	3-6	7	4	0	4	7
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	23	2-9	1-5	2-2	3	1	2	1	7
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	24	1-2	0-0	1-2	7	3	0	1	3
Will Tschetter	F	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ivan Juric	F	24	6-13	2-5	6-8	4	1	1	0	20
Freddie Dilione V	G	38	6-16	2-6	3-6	6	4	2	0	17
Josh Reed	F	29	4-6	1-2	4-4	10	1	2	0	13
Eli Rice	G	24	2-7	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	1	7
Melih Tunca	G	19	2-7	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Saša Ciani	F	16	1-4	0-2	3-3	3	1	0	0	5
Dominick Stewart	G	26	1-8	1-7	0-0	6	1	0	0	3
Mason Blackwood	F	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Tibor Mirtic	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

103.5Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency103.5

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

52.6%Effective FG%40.9%

56.0%True Shooting %46.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

33.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

47.4%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Michigan won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.