Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%Creighton

81.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -443

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 70

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricVillanova

50.6MMH Power Index59.4

109.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.5Defensive Efficiency105.9

-0.5Net Efficiency8.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

68.9Tempo67.3

53.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.0%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-0.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–50.6), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.5), net efficiency (8.8–-0.5).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.4).

Final

Creighton

76—72

Villanova

Creighton by 4 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATVillanova

29-58FG29-66

50.0%FG%44.0%

7-233PT6-24

30.0%3PT%25.0%

11-16FT8-11

69.0%FT%73.0%

39Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists14

8Turnovers6

3Steals4

3Blocks2

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Swartz	G	31	9-15	2-7	0-1	4	3	0	0	20
Josh Dix	G	34	7-14	2-6	1-2	4	0	0	0	17
Blake Harper	G	27	6-9	1-2	4-4	3	1	0	1	17
Jasen Green	F	28	3-8	1-2	3-4	7	2	0	1	10
Fedor Zugic	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Ty Davis	G	25	0-0	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	0	2
Nik Graves	G	15	1-6	0-2	0-1	0	2	1	0	2
Owen Freeman	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Kerem Konan	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Isaac Traudt	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Acaden Lewis	G	33	8-16	2-6	2-3	4	7	3	0	20
Tyler Perkins	G	31	7-13	2-8	2-2	4	0	0	0	18
Duke Brennan	F	33	6-8	0-0	4-6	12	3	0	1	16
Matt Hodge	F	28	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Bryce Lindsay	G	31	2-10	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Devin Askew	G	21	2-10	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Malachi Palmer	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Zion Stanford	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Braden Pierce	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

120.8Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency120.8

6.4Net Efficiency-6.4

56.0%Effective FG%48.5%

57.9%True Shooting %50.5%

13.2%Turnover Rate9.2%

27.6%Free Throw Rate16.7%

39.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Creighton won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.