UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.1%UConn

21.9%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -357

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 83

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreProvidence 76

Team Comparison

UConnMetricProvidence

70.2MMH Power Index54.2

116.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

98.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

17.9Net Efficiency1.8

6.3Strength of Schedule4.0

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

66.2Tempo74.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.3%

11.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–113.2), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.3–30.7).

Final

UConn

103—98

Providence

UConn by 5 • 82.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATProvidence

35-71FG32-64

49.0%FG%50.0%

18-323PT14-24

56.0%3PT%58.0%

15-18FT20-27

83.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds10

25Assists15

12Turnovers17

11Steals4

2Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braylon Mullins	G	41	8-14	6-10	2-3	2	3	2	0	24
Alex Karaban	F	41	8-18	5-9	2-2	3	1	0	0	23
Silas Demary Jr.	G	41	7-11	4-6	5-5	3	15	5	0	23
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	37	8-13	0-0	4-6	8	1	3	2	20
Solo Ball	G	25	3-10	2-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	10
Jaylin Stewart	F	27	1-2	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Eric Reibe	C	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Malachi Smith	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Mela	G	26	5-9	1-1	8-9	3	1	0	0	19
Jamier Jones	F	29	6-9	3-4	3-6	3	1	0	0	18
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	30	4-7	2-3	2-2	4	4	0	0	12
Stefan Vaaks	G	36	3-9	2-7	3-4	4	3	2	0	11
Jaylin Sellers	G	26	3-6	1-1	4-5	2	2	2	0	11
Duncan Powell	F	13	4-7	3-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Jason Edwards	G	28	3-9	2-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	27	4-8	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	2	8
Cole Hargrove	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.7Possessions82.7

124.5Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency124.5

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

62.0%Effective FG%60.9%

64.7%True Shooting %63.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate20.3%

25.4%Free Throw Rate42.2%

45.1%3-Point Rate37.5%

2.08Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

UConn won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 82.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.