Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Missouri

77.8%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -350

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 75

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreKentucky 83

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricKentucky

57.2MMH Power Index63.9

115.1Offensive Efficiency115.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency106.3

5.4Net Efficiency8.9

5.0Strength of Schedule8.7

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

68.8Tempo69.9

55.2%Effective FG%53.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

43.1%Free Throw Rate38.0%

3.8Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–57.2), offensive efficiency (115.2–115.1), defensive efficiency (106.3–109.7), net efficiency (8.9–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–53.2), offensive rebounding (34.8–33.2), free throw rate (43.1–38.0).

Final

Missouri

73—68

Kentucky

Missouri by 5 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATKentucky

27-52FG22-51

52.0%FG%43.0%

6-173PT7-18

35.0%3PT%39.0%

13-18FT17-24

72.0%FT%71.0%

29Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds8

20Assists16

12Turnovers13

8Steals7

4Blocks4

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	37	7-15	1-1	6-7	1	4	0	0	21
Jayden Stone	G	26	6-10	3-6	5-7	7	1	0	0	20
Anthony Robinson II	G	36	4-9	0-3	1-3	4	10	2	0	9
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	22	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2	8
T.O. Barrett	G	17	3-3	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	7
Trent Pierce	G	27	2-5	1-4	0-0	5	3	4	1	5
Jacob Crews	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	1	3
Nicholas Randall	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Annor Boateng	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Luke Northweather	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	35	6-11	3-4	5-8	5	4	4	0	20
Jaland Lowe	G	28	2-11	1-5	4-4	4	2	0	0	9
Malachi Moreno	C	22	3-4	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	3	9
Kam Williams	G	28	3-8	2-7	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	25	2-6	0-0	4-4	2	2	0	0	8
Denzel Aberdeen	G	28	3-7	1-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	7
Brandon Garrison	F	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Jayden Quaintance	F	18	0-1	0-0	1-4	4	1	1	1	1
Collin Chandler	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

107.4Offensive Efficiency100.0

100.0Defensive Efficiency107.4

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

57.7%Effective FG%50.0%

60.3%True Shooting %54.5%

17.5%Turnover Rate19.3%

34.6%Free Throw Rate47.1%

32.7%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Missouri won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.