Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.0%Iowa State

20.0%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -400

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 82

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreBaylor 74

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricBaylor

75.9MMH Power Index58.9

119.3Offensive Efficiency116.7

96.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

23.3Net Efficiency7.2

4.9Strength of Schedule4.0

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

68.4Tempo69.7

56.1%Effective FG%54.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.8%

15.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–58.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–116.7), defensive efficiency (96.0–109.5), net efficiency (23.3–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.5–35.5).

Final

Iowa State

70—60

Baylor

Iowa State by 10 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATBaylor

26-64FG19-62

41.0%FG%31.0%

6-193PT5-27

32.0%3PT%19.0%

12-20FT17-29

60.0%FT%59.0%

44Rebounds47

16Offensive Rebounds21

12Assists8

12Turnovers14

8Steals5

4Blocks7

25Fouls22

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	26	8-12	2-3	6-7	3	2	1	0	24
Joshua Jefferson	F	38	7-17	1-3	4-8	17	3	3	1	19
Killyan Toure	G	34	5-14	1-4	1-2	5	3	2	2	12
Nate Heise	G	32	2-7	2-4	0-0	6	1	2	0	6
Milan Momcilovic	F	24	2-6	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Dominick Nelson	G	5	1-1	0-0	1-3	1	0	0	0	3
Dominykas Pleta	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Blake Buchanan	F	23	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Jamarion Batemon	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	33	5-13	2-6	5-7	5	2	2	2	17
Caden Powell	C	19	4-5	0-0	3-5	11	0	0	0	11
Tounde Yessoufou	G	32	4-13	1-5	1-3	8	1	1	1	10
Michael Rataj	G	23	1-7	1-4	5-6	3	1	0	1	8
Obi Agbim	G	36	2-14	1-10	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Isaac Williams IV	G	21	1-6	0-2	2-5	3	1	0	2	4
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	20	1-3	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	0	3
James Nnaji	C	16	1-1	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency86.7

86.7Defensive Efficiency101.2

14.5Net Efficiency-14.5

45.3%Effective FG%34.7%

47.6%True Shooting %39.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate20.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate46.8%

29.7%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.