UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%UNLV

69.0%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -223

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 80

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricColorado State

52.8MMH Power Index55.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

109.6Defensive Efficiency109.9

1.4Net Efficiency7.2

2.7Strength of Schedule0.4

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

71.4Tempo64.7

53.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

41.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

1.0Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–1.4), recent form (4.3–1.1).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.9), strength of schedule (2.7–0.4), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

UNLV

62—70

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATColorado State

20-49FG20-46

41.0%FG%43.0%

7-203PT9-21

35.0%3PT%43.0%

15-25FT21-30

60.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists11

16Turnovers15

9Steals7

2Blocks3

26Fouls20

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Issac Williamson	G	24	4-6	2-4	4-6	3	2	1	0	14
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	35	4-9	2-4	3-4	2	2	1	0	13
Al Green	G	23	5-8	2-5	0-0	1	2	2	0	12
Tyrin Jones	F	29	3-6	0-0	2-6	3	0	1	1	8
Jacob Bannarbie	F	19	1-5	0-0	3-5	9	2	2	0	5
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	21	1-4	0-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Kimani Hamilton	F	21	1-6	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Emmanuel Stephen	C	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	3
Naas Cunningham	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Walter Brown	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	33	4-9	2-7	5-8	4	4	1	0	15
Carey Booth	F	32	4-5	3-3	2-2	6	0	1	3	13
Rashaan Mbemba	F	20	2-4	0-1	7-10	6	0	0	0	11
Josh Pascarelli	G	17	3-4	2-2	2-3	1	1	1	0	10
Jase Butler	G	32	3-7	2-3	1-1	4	1	1	0	9
Jevin Muniz	G	25	2-7	0-2	1-2	3	4	2	0	5
Nikola Djapa	C	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Jojo McIver	G	11	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	18	0-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	1
Darnez Slater	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

96.7Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency96.7

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

48.0%Effective FG%53.3%

50.9%True Shooting %58.1%

24.7%Turnover Rate23.7%

51.0%Free Throw Rate65.2%

40.8%3-Point Rate45.7%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.