Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Merrimack

62.7%Siena

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL134.0

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -168

Siena

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 65

Projected Total134.0

Projected ScoreSiena 69

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricSiena

53.7MMH Power Index53.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.7Strength of Schedule-0.5

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.0

64.4Tempo64.4

49.3%Effective FG%50.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

39.5%Free Throw Rate34.9%

2.1Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–53.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.2), net efficiency (7.0–3.2).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-0.5), recent form (12.9–3.0), ball security (14.8–15.8).

Final

Merrimack

63—59

Siena

Merrimack by 4 • 54.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATSiena

22-51FG24-58

43.0%FG%41.0%

9-203PT4-16

45.0%3PT%25.0%

10-13FT7-9

77.0%FT%78.0%

25Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds18

14Assists9

7Turnovers10

10Steals2

4Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ernest Shelton	G	32	4-12	4-10	5-6	4	1	0	1	17
Kevair Kennedy	G	40	6-16	1-2	1-2	2	6	1	0	14
KC Ugwuakazi	F	25	6-9	0-0	0-0	8	0	2	0	12
Todd Brogna	F	30	3-4	2-3	0-1	2	0	3	2	8
Andrés Marrero	G	25	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	1	2	0	6
Tye Dorset	G	40	1-5	0-1	2-2	3	6	2	1	4
Jaylen Stinson	G	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Dylan Veillette	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Francis Folefac	F	36	8-14	0-0	6-6	10	4	0	2	22
Gavin Doty	G	40	5-17	3-7	1-3	5	0	1	0	14
Justice Shoats	G	37	5-8	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	10
Antonio Chandler	F	30	5-7	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	10
Brendan Coyle	F	32	1-8	1-8	0-0	4	2	1	0	3
Christian Jones	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Riley Mulvey	C	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Henderson	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

54.3Possessions54.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency116.0

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

52.0%Effective FG%44.8%

55.1%True Shooting %47.4%

12.9%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.5%Free Throw Rate15.5%

39.2%3-Point Rate27.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 54.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.