USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%USC

68.0%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -212

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 72

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreMinnesota 77

Team Comparison

USCMetricMinnesota

48.3MMH Power Index50.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency109.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency107.7

0.9Net Efficiency1.4

2.5Strength of Schedule3.2

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

72.4Tempo63.6

50.7%Effective FG%54.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

45.3%Free Throw Rate36.9%

0.7Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (109.1–108.5), net efficiency (1.4–0.9), strength of schedule (3.2–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–107.7), offensive rebounding (33.2–26.5), free throw rate (45.3–36.9).

Final

USC

70—69

Minnesota

USC by 1 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATMinnesota

25-57FG24-62

44.0%FG%39.0%

6-213PT12-35

29.0%3PT%34.0%

14-17FT9-15

82.0%FT%60.0%

42Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds15

18Assists19

16Turnovers11

7Steals8

6Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	40	9-20	4-10	7-7	2	8	2	1	29
Ezra Ausar	F	42	5-10	0-0	4-6	9	2	2	1	14
Gabe Dynes	C	37	4-4	0-0	1-2	6	2	0	2	9
Jacob Cofie	F	28	3-4	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	9
Kam Woods	G	44	2-10	0-4	0-0	4	3	2	0	4
Jaden Brownell	F	12	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	1	3
Ryan Cornish	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Terrance Williams II	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jerry Easter II	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Marsh	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Tyson	G	45	5-16	3-9	7-10	8	4	1	1	20
Bobby Durkin	F	45	5-9	3-6	0-0	6	2	2	0	13
Langston Reynolds	G	31	5-11	1-4	1-2	6	2	1	1	12
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	30	4-10	2-6	0-1	1	1	0	0	10
Isaac Asuma	G	33	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	6	2	0	8
Grayson Grove	F	18	2-4	1-2	1-2	3	1	1	1	6
Kai Shinholster	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

106.7Offensive Efficiency105.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency106.7

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

49.1%Effective FG%48.4%

53.8%True Shooting %49.9%

24.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.8%Free Throw Rate24.2%

36.8%3-Point Rate56.5%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

USC won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.