Boston College

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.9%Boston College

95.1%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -20.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -1941

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoston College 64

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreLouisville 84

Team Comparison

Boston CollegeMetricLouisville

45.1MMH Power Index67.1

100.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

104.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

-4.8Net Efficiency16.4

4.8Strength of Schedule6.0

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.4Tempo71.0

47.1%Effective FG%56.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-3.3Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–45.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–100.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–104.8), net efficiency (16.4–-4.8).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHball security (15.4–16.8).

Final

Boston College

62—75

Louisville

Louisville by 13 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boston CollegeTEAM STATLouisville

23-63FG25-51

37.0%FG%49.0%

9-283PT6-21

32.0%3PT%29.0%

7-16FT19-25

44.0%FT%76.0%

31Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists13

6Turnovers13

6Steals3

1Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Payne	G	36	9-15	4-7	0-0	5	4	1	0	22
Donald Hand Jr.	G	33	3-17	3-10	3-5	3	1	3	0	12
Luka Toews	G	21	4-8	2-4	1-2	0	2	0	0	11
Boden Kapke	F	32	4-9	0-3	2-6	7	1	1	0	10
Caleb Steger	G	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Jayden Hastings	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	2
Aidan Shaw	G	30	0-2	0-0	1-2	6	2	1	0	1
Chase Forte	G	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Marko Radunovic	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sananda Fru	F	28	8-9	1-1	2-5	13	1	1	2	19
Adrian Wooley	G	36	5-12	0-4	6-8	6	4	1	0	16
Isaac McKneely	G	33	3-10	2-8	5-5	1	2	0	0	13
J'Vonne Hadley	G	30	4-7	1-1	2-2	4	3	0	0	11
Kobe Rodgers	G	29	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Khani Rooths	F	25	1-3	0-1	1-2	11	1	1	2	3
Aly Khalifa	C	10	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Vangelis Zougris	F	3	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Kasean Pryor	F	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

88.8Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency88.8

-18.6Net Efficiency18.6

43.7%Effective FG%54.9%

43.9%True Shooting %59.6%

8.6%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate49.0%

44.4%3-Point Rate41.2%

2.17Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Louisville won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.