Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Arkansas

49.1%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL172.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -104

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Projected Total172.6

Projected ScoreAuburn 86

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricAuburn

69.3MMH Power Index64.4

122.2Offensive Efficiency118.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency113.0

12.4Net Efficiency5.8

8.6Strength of Schedule7.5

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

73.8Tempo69.8

56.4%Effective FG%53.1%

12.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

36.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

9.2Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–64.4), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.8), defensive efficiency (109.8–113.0), net efficiency (12.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHrecent form (8.0–3.4), offensive rebounding (36.5–31.8), free throw rate (43.8–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

73—95

Auburn

Auburn by 22 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATAuburn

25-58FG34-60

43.0%FG%57.0%

8-213PT10-22

38.0%3PT%45.0%

15-21FT17-24

71.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists20

11Turnovers10

7Steals11

3Blocks2

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	35	7-16	2-6	3-3	1	1	0	0	19
Meleek Thomas	G	28	6-12	3-6	2-3	3	4	2	0	17
Trevon Brazile	F	26	5-9	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	13
Malique Ewin	F	25	3-8	1-1	6-9	12	1	0	2	13
D.J. Wagner	G	30	1-5	1-4	1-2	2	2	2	0	4
Billy Richmond III	G	26	1-4	0-1	1-1	1	0	2	0	3
Nick Pringle	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Isaiah Sealy	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Karter Knox	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	36	11-14	4-5	6-6	2	5	1	2	32
KeShawn Murphy	F	27	6-10	2-3	2-2	10	1	1	0	16
Elyjah Freeman	G	28	4-8	2-3	3-4	6	3	2	0	13
Kevin Overton	G	29	3-8	1-5	3-4	4	1	1	0	10
Filip Jovic	F	12	3-3	0-0	1-1	4	1	2	0	7
Tahaad Pettiford	G	30	3-9	0-4	0-1	4	7	2	0	6
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	24	3-6	0-1	0-4	5	2	1	0	6
Blake Muschalek	G	10	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Drake Cardwell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Simon Walker	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Reed Trapp	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

101.8Offensive Efficiency132.5

132.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

-30.7Net Efficiency30.7

50.0%Effective FG%65.0%

53.7%True Shooting %66.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.8%

36.2%Free Throw Rate40.0%

36.2%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Auburn won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.