Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.9%Penn State

98.1%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -25.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -5163

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 65

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScorePurdue 90

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricPurdue

42.3MMH Power Index73.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency124.8

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

-8.4Net Efficiency17.0

5.3Strength of Schedule7.6

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

67.5Tempo65.4

53.4%Effective FG%57.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate29.1%

-5.7Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (124.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–117.6), net efficiency (17.0–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–29.1).

Final

Penn State

85—93

Purdue

Purdue by 8 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATPurdue

32-56FG38-66

57.0%FG%58.0%

12-273PT11-29

44.0%3PT%38.0%

9-10FT6-14

90.0%FT%43.0%

28Rebounds27

5Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists25

10Turnovers3

2Steals7

—Blocks1

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	34	10-20	3-8	2-2	2	5	1	25
Melih Tunca	G	25	6-9	2-4	0-0	3	3	0	14
Eli Rice	G	27	4-6	3-4	0-0	4	0	0	11
Ivan Juric	F	31	3-5	1-3	2-2	10	0	0	9
Mason Blackwood	F	21	4-5	1-2	0-0	3	3	1	9
Josh Reed	F	29	2-3	2-3	2-2	1	2	0	8
Saša Ciani	F	12	3-4	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	6
Dominick Stewart	G	21	0-4	0-2	3-3	3	3	0	3

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	39	11-18	4-8	0-0	1	14	2	0	26
Oscar Cluff	C	30	10-11	0-0	3-6	7	2	0	1	23
Fletcher Loyer	G	32	6-10	4-8	1-2	0	2	0	0	17
C.J. Cox	G	26	6-11	3-8	1-2	4	1	3	0	16
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	27	3-6	0-0	1-2	9	4	1	0	7
Gicarri Harris	G	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Daniel Jacobsen	C	10	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Jack Benter	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Omer Mayer	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

127.2Offensive Efficiency139.2

139.2Defensive Efficiency127.2

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

67.9%Effective FG%65.9%

70.0%True Shooting %64.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate4.4%

17.9%Free Throw Rate21.2%

48.2%3-Point Rate43.9%

1.60Assist / Turnover8.33

Game Summary

Purdue won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.