SMU

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.6%SMU

93.4%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1415

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSMU 69

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

SMUMetricDuke

62.5MMH Power Index81.7

118.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.6Defensive Efficiency95.2

8.6Net Efficiency27.0

7.0Strength of Schedule7.8

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.1Tempo66.8

55.7%Effective FG%56.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

6.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–62.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.2), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.6), net efficiency (27.0–8.6).

SMU COUNTERS WITHball security (15.7–15.9).

Final

SMU

75—82

Duke

Duke by 7 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SMUTEAM STATDuke

30-53FG25-51

57.0%FG%49.0%

7-143PT11-26

50.0%3PT%42.0%

8-9FT21-27

89.0%FT%78.0%

30Rebounds23

8Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists18

21Turnovers13

8Steals12

2Blocks1

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Toombs	C	35	10-12	2-2	1-1	7	0	1	0	23
B.J. Edwards	G	38	8-14	2-4	2-2	7	5	3	0	20
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	37	5-13	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	11
Corey Washington	F	26	2-5	2-3	5-6	3	1	3	0	11
Samet Yigitoglu	C	37	3-6	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	2	6
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mitchell Holmes	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Evans	G	30	5-11	4-8	7-8	2	1	0	0	21
Cameron Boozer	F	35	5-9	2-4	6-7	7	4	2	0	18
Patrick Ngongba II	C	27	6-10	0-2	5-6	5	1	0	0	17
Cayden Boozer	G	34	4-7	2-3	2-2	2	4	2	0	12
Dame Sarr	G	18	2-5	2-4	0-1	1	0	4	1	6
Nikolas Khamenia	G	16	2-2	1-1	0-1	0	4	2	0	5
Maliq Brown	F	18	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	3	2	0	3
Caleb Foster	G	15	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Darren Harris	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

107.8Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency107.8

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

63.2%Effective FG%59.8%

65.5%True Shooting %64.2%

29.9%Turnover Rate18.9%

17.0%Free Throw Rate52.9%

26.4%3-Point Rate51.0%

0.48Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Duke won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.