Oklahoma State

20-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Oklahoma State

95.3%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -20.2

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -2028

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 70

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreIowa State 90

Team Comparison

Oklahoma StateMetricIowa State

53.5MMH Power Index75.9

112.1Offensive Efficiency119.3

111.2Defensive Efficiency96.0

0.9Net Efficiency23.3

6.1Strength of Schedule4.9

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

74.8Tempo68.4

52.2%Effective FG%56.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

40.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

0.7Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–53.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–112.1), defensive efficiency (96.0–111.2), net efficiency (23.3–0.9).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.1–4.9), free throw rate (40.3–35.2).

Final

Oklahoma State

71—83

Iowa State

Iowa State by 12 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oklahoma StateTEAM STATIowa State

21-48FG27-58

44.0%FG%47.0%

8-223PT5-16

36.0%3PT%31.0%

21-26FT24-30

81.0%FT%80.0%

26Rebounds36

3Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists17

15Turnovers10

5Steals10

3Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parsa Fallah	F	36	8-12	1-3	4-5	11	3	2	0	21
Anthony Roy	G	33	5-13	5-12	4-5	3	2	0	1	19
Kanye Clary	G	37	3-6	2-3	3-3	4	6	0	0	11
Isaiah Coleman	G	24	1-4	0-1	4-4	0	1	0	0	6
Andrija Vukovic	F	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2	6
Jaylen Curry	G	31	1-8	0-3	2-2	3	3	2	0	4
Benjamin Ahmed	C	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Christian Coleman	G	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Ryan Crotty	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-3	0	0	0	0	1

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Jefferson	F	36	4-14	1-5	10-12	5	5	1	1	19
Milan Momcilovic	F	33	6-10	3-5	3-3	4	0	1	0	18
Killyan Toure	G	33	3-6	0-1	6-8	7	5	2	0	12
Tamin Lipsey	G	25	4-9	1-3	2-2	3	4	4	0	11
Blake Buchanan	F	28	4-8	0-0	2-4	6	3	0	0	10
Dominick Nelson	G	6	3-5	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	7
Dominykas Pleta	F	9	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Nate Heise	G	28	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Jamarion Batemon	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

97.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency97.4

-16.5Net Efficiency16.5

52.1%Effective FG%50.9%

58.8%True Shooting %57.4%

20.7%Turnover Rate13.7%

54.2%Free Throw Rate51.7%

45.8%3-Point Rate27.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.