Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Wake Forest

79.5%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -388

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 73

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricNorth Carolina

57.6MMH Power Index65.2

112.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.7Defensive Efficiency103.8

2.7Net Efficiency11.7

7.2Strength of Schedule7.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.2Tempo69.0

52.8%Effective FG%54.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.1%Free Throw Rate38.1%

1.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–57.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–112.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.7), net efficiency (11.7–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.1–-1.8).

Final

Wake Forest

84—87

North Carolina

North Carolina by 3 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATNorth Carolina

31-64FG29-55

48.0%FG%53.0%

14-353PT9-26

40.0%3PT%35.0%

8-11FT20-30

73.0%FT%67.0%

27Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists20

13Turnovers14

9Steals10

—Blocks2

22Fouls13

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Juke Harris	G	38	10-18	5-12	3-4	6	1	2	28
Nate Calmese	G	35	10-16	7-11	1-2	4	9	2	28
Cooper Schwieger	F	29	4-10	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	9
Mekhi Mason	G	22	4-9	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	18	2-5	0-0	3-3	2	1	1	7
Omaha Biliew	F	22	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	2
Sebastian Akins	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Myles Colvin	G	30	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Henri Veesaar	C	34	9-10	2-3	5-7	9	4	1	1	25
Caleb Wilson	F	36	8-9	0-0	6-8	12	3	2	0	22
Jaydon Young	G	19	4-6	3-5	1-2	1	2	0	0	12
Seth Trimble	G	33	3-7	0-1	4-6	3	4	2	1	10
Jonathan Powell	G	12	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Kyan Evans	G	22	1-6	1-6	1-3	0	4	1	0	4
Jarin Stevenson	F	21	1-6	0-2	2-2	2	1	2	0	4
Derek Dixon	G	13	1-5	1-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	4
Luka Bogavac	G	9	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Isaiah Denis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

117.8Offensive Efficiency122.0

122.0Defensive Efficiency117.8

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

59.4%Effective FG%60.9%

60.7%True Shooting %62.8%

18.0%Turnover Rate19.9%

17.2%Free Throw Rate54.5%

54.7%3-Point Rate47.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.