Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Mississippi State

93.5%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -17.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -1438

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 72

Projected Total160.9

Projected ScoreKentucky 89

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricKentucky

44.6MMH Power Index63.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.3

-5.8Net Efficiency8.9

5.0Strength of Schedule8.7

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

72.3Tempo69.9

51.6%Effective FG%53.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate38.0%

-4.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (106.3–113.2), net efficiency (8.9–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

68—92

Kentucky

Kentucky by 24 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATKentucky

27-56FG37-67

48.0%FG%55.0%

3-203PT9-22

15.0%3PT%41.0%

11-14FT9-14

79.0%FT%64.0%

28Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists21

15Turnovers9

6Steals14

4Blocks2

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	37	7-16	2-8	4-4	1	5	2	0	20
Jayden Epps	G	33	4-12	1-7	4-4	6	1	0	0	13
Achor Achor	F	29	6-8	0-1	1-2	11	1	2	0	13
Quincy Ballard	C	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	2	6
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	21	3-7	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Brandon Walker	F	9	1-2	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	4
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	1	2
Sergej Macura	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
King Grace	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amier Ali	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dellquan Warren	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	32	10-17	2-4	0-0	3	5	5	1	22
Malachi Moreno	C	28	8-10	0-0	1-2	8	6	4	0	17
Denzel Aberdeen	G	33	5-9	2-3	4-4	1	4	0	0	16
Kam Williams	G	30	5-8	2-3	2-2	5	2	2	0	14
Collin Chandler	G	19	2-8	1-5	2-2	1	1	1	0	7
Brandon Garrison	F	13	3-4	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	1	6
Jasper Johnson	G	10	2-4	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Andrija Jelavic	F	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	13	1-3	0-1	0-1	5	1	0	0	2
Jaland Lowe	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Zach Tow	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Walker Horn	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency133.9

133.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

-34.9Net Efficiency34.9

50.9%Effective FG%61.9%

54.3%True Shooting %62.5%

21.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

25.0%Free Throw Rate20.9%

35.7%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.